4/26/2023 0 Comments Josh marshall twitter![]() That could prove enough to win Senate races in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Ohio. And their evasions wouldn’t just make them look ridiculous that would put squarely on the table the very real threat that Republicans would enact a nationwide abortion ban as soon as January 2025. Will you make a firm commitment to never vote for a federal law banning abortion nationwide?įew, if any, Republicans would be able to make that pledge. With those commitments in hand, one question should be on the lips of every Democratic candidate. These are the Senate seats we need to hold (in New Hampshire, Arizona, Georgia and Nevada) and here are the ones we need to win (in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and possibly in Ohio, Florida and North Carolina). If this is your passion, here’s where to channel that passion. The campaign message is clear: If you want to protect Roe, give us those majorities. ![]() It also defines what constitutes a win: control of the House and two more Senate seats. That tells voters exactly what will be delivered with a Democratic win. You give us this, and we’ll give you that. No ambiguity, no haggling, no living in Senator Manchin’s head for a year. And that is the party’s message that makes the 2022 midterms a referendum on Roe: “Give us the House and two more senators, and we will make Roe law in January 2023.” If my math is right and there are 48 Senate Democrats ready to make that pledge, they need two additional Democratic senators in the next Congress. Getting a list of holdouts down to a publicly named handful is the first step to persuading them to fall in line. But if any do have misgivings, that’s why the public commitments are so important. Some claim that Senators Manchin and Sinema are just taking the public heat for a number of other Senate Democrats who are also unwilling to change the filibuster rules. Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema are dead set against any changes to the filibuster - a fact you likely know because most of President Biden’s agenda has been bottled up behind their refusal for the past year. Here’s one way to do that: get clear public commitments from every Senate Democrat (and candidate for Senate) not only to vote for the Roe bill in January 2023 but also to change the filibuster rules to ensure that a majority vote would actually pass the bill and send it to the White House for the president’s signature.Īt present, there are likely 48 Senate Democrats who can make that pledge. To make the 2022 elections a referendum on Roe, Democrats have to put protecting Roe and abortion rights on the table. But you can’t make an election into a referendum on an issue if you can’t point to anything winning the election would accomplish. Unfortunately, their current plan is almost sure to fail.Īfter the Democrats came up with just 49 votes to bring a Roe-protecting bill before the Senate on May 11, they promised to keep fighting and, in the words of Senator Amy Klobuchar, “take that fight right to the ballot box” in November. What’s more, polls showed a rising number of voters listing abortion as their top midterm issue after news of Roe’s imminent demise leaked in the form of a draft court opinion published by Politico. Polls show that roughly two in three Americans oppose overturning Roe and almost 60 percent support passing a bill to set Roe’s protections in a federal law. Wade, the linchpin decision upholding abortion rights, which the Supreme Court is almost certain to strike down this summer. Democrats hope to make November’s midterm elections a referendum on Roe v.
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